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Sunday, September 03, 2006

The Rest of the Congressional Polling

Looking for the polling on the Patrica Madrid - Heather Wilson race? Go here for my take on it

Let's take a look at some more of that good ol' Sanderoff polling. One Republican is up for reelection: Congressman Steve Pearce, who is ahead of Democratic challenger Al Kissling by a 54-29 margin. It should be noted that the poll has a very high MOE (8.4 percent). Of course, Kissling still isn't near Pearce even with that MOE; Pearce even has more than a third of the Democratic vote in NM-02.

Kissling just has never really gotten on track; he just doesn't have the money that Pearce has. According to opensecrets.org, Pearce has over $500,000 cash on hand; Kissling has just $20,000.

You can help narrow the gap at Kissling's site.

Things look better for Democrats in the other two Congressional races this year. In the Third Congressional District, Tom Udall (my Congressman) holds a 71-18 advantage. This race was basically over before it began. Udall is one of the best Representatives out there (at least in my opinion). He is so popular that he even edges Republican challenger Ron Dolin in Republican support.

he poll found 86 percent of Democrats favored Udall, while 7 percent supported Dolin. On the Republican side, 46 percent chose Udall and 38 percent picked Dolin.

Dolin has said he never belonged to a political party until deciding to run against Udall as a Republican.

New Mexico's race for Senator is similarly good news for Democrats; Jeff Bingaman holds a 62-23 advantage in the poll (MOE 5%).

Republican challenger Allen McCulloch wasted most of his momentum and money on the Republican primary.

While McCulloch had brought in more than $315,000 in campaign contributions as of June 30, the primary battle left him tapped. He had less than $2,500 remaining in his war chest at the end of June.
That's compared to Bingaman who was $1.7 million cash on hand. Don't expect any sort of comeback for the Republican challenger here.

So what's the overall news from these polls? Well, nothing new. We knew that Wilson would hold a slight edge from being an incumbent. We also knew that the other three races would basically be window dressing to the Madrid-Wilson race. But it sets a benchmark for the next two months in our humble little Congressional races.

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