Madrid - Wilson Poll Reportedly has Madrid Ahead

This is big if it is true. From Joe Monahan's latest blog post:

Late Wednesday Democratic pollster Harry Pavlides, polling for a statewide candidate, reported he also surveyed the 1st CD and reports that his 388 interviews show the race a "dead heat," with Madrid having a one point lead. (Margin of error + or-5%.)

Joe Monahan

At only one point ahead, a MOE of + or - 5%, it is still anyone's race; no one expected it to be anything but close this year. Actually, some Heather Wilson supporters pointed out how Wilson pulled away from Richard Romero last cycle. They forget that Patricia Madrid is not Richard Romero.

This came on the heels of Bill Richardson predicting a narrow Madrid victory. He said that Madrid would prevail "because of this Democratic wave and my get-out-the-vote operation." Loyal readers may remember that I said that a huge GOTV campaign would be a huge asset to Dems all the way down the ticket; I was then informed that Richardson already has a huge GOTV campaign.

Obviously, we should take this news with a grain of salt; the poll is a "Democratic poll", and I haven't found evidence of the poll anywhere else -- yet. And Governor Richardson isn't exactly an unbiased spectator. But this is all good news for Madrid.